Japan Unwilling to Play Doormat to Rising China

Miami–Lots of people are upset that Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe didn’t express enough remorse for his country’s actions in World War II and said that current and future generations should not be consigned to endless apologizing. His words can be interpreted as his opinion that it’s time to move on. But mainly, they are words designed to fit into the context of Japan’s coming geopolitical rivalry with its ancient rival, China.

Awkward: Abe and China’s president Ji Xinping, Spring, 2014

This mainly has to do with China’s clear effort to dominate the Western Pacific. Japan, no less than China, is vulnerable to disruption of important sea lanes, but China has taken the stand that it and it alone ought to be the monitors. China has claimed several China Sea islands, including a group that belongs to Japan.

The conservative leader has already taken steps to pump up Japan’s military profile. He plans to conduct mine sweeping operations in the South China Sea, consideration of defense alliances with its neighbors and passage of the biggest military budget since World War II.

Japan has also concluded that US military policy, which seeks to rely more on like-minded regional powers as partners, requires an active military. This has prompted Abe to gradually jettison Japan’s post-war pacifism.

Of course, any time Japan complains about Chinese military moves, Beijing throws World War II in Japan’s face, and  this is the context of Abe’s not-very-apologetic stand.

Japan’s emperor softened Abe’s hardline my making a more fulsome apology. Foreigners, at least, took this to be a rebuke. I looked at it as a division of labor. The emperor speaks for history, Abe speaks for the Japan and its needs as he sees them now.

Stratfor on Japan, its economy and active role in regional affairs.

Stars and Stripes on Japan and changing US defense posture.

Carnegie Endowment on China, and the US-Japan alliance.

Abe and the Emperor.

Daniel Williams

Published by Daniel Williams

I am a former correspondent who, for more than 30 years, did time in China, Southeast Asia, Central America, Mexico, the Middle East, Europe and Africa and covered wars that went from episodic to non-stop. My book, "Forsaken," about Christian persecution in the Middle East came out January, 2016. NextWarNotes is a news and analysis blog designed to fill gaps, provide background and think about what’s next. The name of the site comes from a 1935 article by Ernest Hemingway in Esquire Magazine called “Notes on the Next War,” in which he predicted the coming conflagration in Europe, told why it would happen and warned Americans to stay out.

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